INTU: Intuit Shareholders Put Tax Refunds to Work

Intuit Announces Record Third-Quarter Revenue; Raises Full-Year Revenue and Earnings Guidance:

Intuit Inc. (INTU) today announced its third-quarter 2007 revenue increased 21 percent over the year-ago quarter to $1.15 billion. This marks the first time Intuit revenue has exceeded $1 billion in a quarter.

Intuit posted GAAP (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) net income of $367 million in the quarter compared to $299 million in the third quarter of 2006. This represents diluted net income per share of $1.04 compared to diluted net income per share of $0.84 in the year-ago quarter. Intuit posted non-GAAP net income of $399 million, or $1.13 per share versus $318 million, or $0.89 per share in the third quarter of 2006.

The results handily beat analyst expectations of $1.08 in EPS on $1.11 billion in sales. Furthermore, the full-year guidance offered was ahead of expectations for $1.36 in EPS on $2.66 billion in sales:

  • Revenue - Former guidance: $2.625 billion to $2.675 billion, representing annual growth of 12 percent to 14 percent. New guidance: $2.685 billion to $2.7 billion, representing annual growth of approximately 15 percent.
  • GAAP diluted earnings per share - Former guidance: $1.10 to $1.14. New guidance: $1.15 to $1.17.
  • Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share - Former guidance: $1.33 to $1.37. New guidance: $1.38 to $1.40. The new guidance represents annual EPS growth of 14 percent to 16 percent.

I tried to get excited about the news, which sent the shares up 10% after market hours. But the thing is, I don’t think the news had anything to do with the rally. As I’ve pointed out time and time again, share returns for Intuit are nearly as predictable as the passage of time. In fact, about the only variable one apparently needs to know is whether it is April (buy) or November (sell). Anything in between should use the signal as a reference point to know whether there may still be a play. It’s enough to send Eugene Fama into fits.

I, on the other hand, am laughing all the way to the bank.

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3 Comments on “INTU: Intuit Shareholders Put Tax Refunds to Work”

  1. Anthony Caswell

    While the earnings increase is quite good news, I was wondering if there was any information release of overall returns prepared? The revenue increase can be clearly attributed to the increase in price for their product.

    With H&R Block’s TaxCut increasing around 16% in clients (for software and online), this had to cut into Intuits’ client base. If they continue to lose market share and raising prices, they will not be able to meet the streets expectations eventually.

  2. Trent

    Yes - you may recall I talked about the apparent share shifts before.

    According to the conference call:

    Third-quarter Consumer Tax revenue of $567 million was up 14% over the year-ago period. Season-to-date, Consumer Tax revenue is up 15%. Year-to-date, TurboTax federal units are up 17% on the Web and 6% overall despite passing on some low-priced bulk deals early in the season which would have added about 2 points of growth to our non-Free File Alliance unit numbers.

    So while web was up strong in units, overall appears slower than HRB. Over time they will have to find the right balance of profits and growth - I don’t think that a slower-growth premium strategy is necessarily a bad thing, but you are right that it could be.

  3. […] Intuit surprised everyone except Stock Market Beat with revenues and operating income up 21%. CEO Steve Bennett was in upbeat mood: I’ve never felt better about a quarter or a year and more importantly what it bodes for the future. […]

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