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	<title>Stock Market Beat &#187; Hovnanian (HOV)</title>
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		<title>CNBC Bonus Bucks Trivia: In his Friday &#8220;Game Plan,&#8221; Cramer said banks may bottom soon. But he warned of possible &#8220;catches,&#8221; including:</title>
		<link>http://stockmarketbeat.com/blog1/2008/06/03/cnbc-bonus-bucks-trivia-in-his-friday-game-plan-cramer-said-banks-may-bottom-soon-but-he-warned-of-possible-catches-including/</link>
		<comments>http://stockmarketbeat.com/blog1/2008/06/03/cnbc-bonus-bucks-trivia-in-his-friday-game-plan-cramer-said-banks-may-bottom-soon-but-he-warned-of-possible-catches-including/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Jun 2008 18:03:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Trent</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[American International Group (AIG)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hovnanian (HOV)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wachovia (WB)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Washington Mutual (WM)]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[In his Friday &#8220;Game Plan,&#8221; Cramer said banks may bottom soon. But he warned of  possible &#8220;catches,&#8221; including:
The catch here, and there always is a catch, is that if HOV and TOL report poor numbers and the U.S. has lost more jobs, Cramer&#8217;s predicting next week would be horrible for the financials. American International [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In his Friday &#8220;Game Plan,&#8221; Cramer said banks may bottom soon. But he warned of  possible &#8220;catches,&#8221; including:</p>
<blockquote><p>The catch here, and there always is a catch, is that if HOV and TOL report poor numbers and the U.S. has lost more jobs, Cramer&#8217;s predicting next week would be horrible for the financials. <strong>American International Group</strong> (<a href="http://stockmarketbeat.com/blog1/category/financials/insurance-property-and-casualty/aig-aig/">AIG</a> - <a href="http://stockmarketbeat.ar.wilink.com/?link=fcx">Annual Report</a>), <strong>Washington Mutual (WM) </strong><strong>Wachovia</strong> (<a href="http://stockmarketbeat.com/blog1/category/financials/regional-banks/wachovia-wb/">WB</a> - <a href="http://stockmarketbeat.ar.wilink.com/?link=wb">Annual Report</a>) and <strong>Bank of America</strong> (BAC) could sink to multiyear lows.</p></blockquote>
<p>None of the stocks fare especially well in the models I use. HOV doesn&#8217;t even make it past the screens, and Toll Brothers scores among the worst for <a href="http://financial-education.com/2007/08/13/earnings-surprise-and-future-excess-returns/">earnings momentum</a> and return potential.</p>
<p>Bank of America scores poorly for <a href="http://financial-education.com/2007/02/22/what-is-earnings-quality/">earnings quality</a>, <a href="http://financial-education.com/2007/08/13/earnings-surprise-and-future-excess-returns/">earnings momentum</a> and price momentum. The same applies for Wachovia, which also ranks low for <a href="http://financial-education.com/2007/08/22/computing-free-cash-flow-to-the-firm-from-the-statement-of-cash-flows/">free cash flow</a>. Washington Mutual, by contrast, has a high <a href="http://financial-education.com/2007/08/22/computing-free-cash-flow-to-the-firm-from-the-statement-of-cash-flows/">free cash flow</a> ranking but is also among the worst ranked for return potential.</p>
<p>AIG is the only name on the list that is not a net negative in my models. Its poor scores for <a href="http://financial-education.com/2007/08/13/earnings-surprise-and-future-excess-returns/">earnings momentum</a> and price momentum are offset by high marks for <a href="http://financial-education.com/2007/02/22/what-is-earnings-quality/">earnings quality</a> and <a href="http://financial-education.com/2007/08/22/computing-free-cash-flow-to-the-firm-from-the-statement-of-cash-flows/">free cash flow</a>.</p>
<p><strong>Disclosure: At time of publication, William Trent has no financial position in the companies mentioned in this article. </strong></p>
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