Archive: Mid Cap Watch List

LH: Lab Corp Margins Below Expectations

Mid Cap Watch List (Track at Marketocracy) and Large Cap Watch List (Track at Marketocracy) member Laboratory Corporation of America(R) Holdings (LH) announced results for the quarter and six months ended June 30, 2007. Excluding restructuring and other special charges recorded in 2007, net earnings increased 14.1% to $132.8 million. Earnings per diluted share (EPS) increased 20.7% to $1.05, compared to $0.87 per diluted share in the second quarter of 2006. Excluding restructuring and other special charges recorded in 2007, EPS increased 25.3% to $1.09, in line with consensus estimates.

Revenues for the quarter were $1,043.1 million, an increase of 15.4% compared to the same period in 2006 and ahead of the $1.03 billion consensus. Looking ahead, the Company expects revenue growth of 13% to 14%, EBITDA margins of approximately 26.4% to 26.9%, and diluted earnings per share of between $4.11 and $4.27. With the consensus at 13.5% revenue growth and $4.21 in earnings per share, the apparent margin pressure (relative to expectations) is forecast to continue.

Topics: Healthcare, Healthcare Facilities, Laboratory Corp. of America (LH), Large Cap Watch List, Mid Cap Watch List, Watch List | No Comments

STLD: Steel Dynamics Misses, Promises to Make it Up to Us

Mid Cap Watch List (Track at Marketocracy) member Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD - Annual Report) announced second quarter earnings of $94 million, or $0.95 per diluted share, an increase of 7 percent when compared to $0.89 per diluted share in the second quarter of 2006 but below consensus estimates of $1.05. Diluted earnings per share decreased 6 percent from the first quarter of 2007, principally due to bond refinancing costs. Revenues increased to $911 million, 11 percent higher than the year-ago quarter and 5 percent higher than the first quarter of 2007, but below the consensus estimate of $948 million. Adjusting for the refinancing charge the earnings were $1.01, at the low end of the lowered guidance range the company provided in May. Guidance for the third quarter, however, was strong:

We expect market demand for flat-rolled steel to improve in the third quarter, following several months of inventory liquidation, which would provide the possibility of a higher third-quarter volume of shipments and
improved profit margins for sheet products. Combined with continued strong results for long products, we expect higher third-quarter earnings in the range of $1.10 to $1.15 per diluted share, subject to certain purchase accounting adjustments related to our acquisition of The Techs.

Consensus estimates for next quarter were $1.08, so the company now expects to make up for this quarter’s shortfall in the coming one. Given their forecasting success to date, we wouldn’t be surprised if investors say “show me the money.” Particularly since the company claims its customers have been liquidating inventory but the company itself has seen inventories balloon, which resulted in negative cash flow from operations for the quarter.

Topics: Basic Materials, Iron and Steel, Mid Cap Watch List, Steel Dynamics (STLD), Stock Market, Watch List | No Comments

HXL: Hexcel Needs to Hit Stride

Small Cap Watch List (Track at Marketocracy) and Mid Cap Watch List (Track at Marketocracy) member Hexcel Corporation (HXL) reported results for the second quarter of 2007. Net sales from continuing operations in the quarter were $289.8 million, 5.8% higher than the $274.0 million reported for the second quarter of 2006 but below the consensus estimate of $296 million. Net income from continuing operations for the second quarter of 2007 was $17.5 million, or $0.18 per diluted share, slightly ahead of consensus. Net loss from discontinued operations was $8.7 million, or $0.09 per diluted share including an after-tax charge of $9.7 million for previously disclosed legal matters. According to the company:

The second quarter saw a continuation of the first quarter sales pattern for the commercial aerospace market. Because of the A380 delay, Airbus sales were again down significantly from a year ago, but strong demand from all other major customers resulted in the almost 9% overall growth in our commercial aerospace sales. Start-up, training and qualification efforts combined with some unplanned maintenance outages put some pressure on our margins but we still met our guidance targets and expect better year-on-year margin expansion for the remainder of 2007.

The ramp up of new B787 and A380 programs layered on top of increasing aircraft build rates should provide opportunity for good volume leverage next year. Longer term we are encouraged by the continued strength in wind turbine and aircraft orders, especially the new composite intensive A350 XWB.

I’ve commented at length about the A380 problems  and I’ve also noted the extraordinary pricing power enjoyed by turbine makers. If the company could start hitting on all cylinders it might be a strong performer. As it is, the company raised sales guidance to the high end of prior levels.

Topics: Electronic Instruments and Controls, Hexcel (HXL), Mid Cap Watch List, Small Cap Watch List, Stock Market, Technology, Watch List | No Comments

The Week Ahead – 21 July 2007

The Economic Calendar is quiet in the early part of this week but there are important reports at the end of the week. On Thursday is the Durable Goods report, for which the consensus estimates a 2.0% increase. On Friday is the Preliminary Estimate of 2Q GDP, which the consensus has pegged at 3.2%. That sounds a little high to me based on the economic data table I’ve been compiling.

EconomicData

Bad and Deteriorating Bad but Improving Good but Deteriorating Good and Improving
Existing Homes (June) Chicago Fed NAI (May) Consumer Confidence (June) Real Disposable Income
Employment (June) Durable Goods (June) Personal Spending (June) ISM Manufacturing (July)
New Home Sales (June) Construction Spending Retail sales (August 2007) ISM Services (June)
ATA Truck Tonnage (June) CPI (July 07) Leading Indicators (June)  
GDP (Q2 Advance) Trade deficit (July 07)    
PPI (July 07) Durable Goods (July)    
Industrial Production (July 07)      
Housing Starts (July 07)      
       
       

The Earnings Calendar is as busy as it can get. Some of the names I’ll be watching:

Monday

Tuesday

  • CH Robinson (CHRW - Annual Report) – estimates have been rising and now stand at $0.47, but Landstar (LSTR - Annual Report) disappointed.
  • CDW Corporation (CDWC) – stellar monthly sales reports have kept estimates rising. They now stand at $0.97.
  • EMC Corporation (EMC - Annual Report) – The big news is still the VMWare IPO, but it is also a decent look at enterprise tech spend.
  • Laboratory Corporation of America (LH) – The Mid Cap and Large Cap Watch List (Track at Marketocracy) member has been seeing positive earnings revisions and is now expected to earn $1.09 on $1.03 billion in revenue.
  • Lexmark (LXK) preannounced and will probably offer poor guidance.
  • Linear Technology (LLTC) – expected to earn $0.35 on $267 million in sales.
  • Norsk Hydro (NHY) – The Large Cap Watch List (Track at Marketocracy) member has no analyst coverage right now.
  • Plantronics (PLT) – my covered call position is now being cashed out so I’ve no skin in this one. But it is often volatile.
  • United Parcel Services (UPS) is a great read on the health of the economy. Expectations are $1.03 on $12.23 billion in revenue.

Wednesday

Thursday

Disclosure: William Trent has a long position in SMH.

Topics: Air Courier, Altera (ALTR), Basic Materials, CDW Corp (CDWC), CH Robinson Worldwide (CHRW), Colgate Palmolive (CL), Communications Equipment, Computer Hardware, Computer Peripherals, Computer Storage Devices, Conglomerates, Consumer Non-cyclical, Corning (GLW), Durable Goods, EMC Corp. (EMC), Economy, Electronic Instruments and Controls, Federated Investors (FII), Financials, Freeport McMoRan (FCX), GDP, Graco (GGG), Healthcare, Healthcare Facilities, Hexcel (HXL), Ingram Micro (IM), Investment Services, Iron and Steel, Laboratory Corp. of America (LH), Large Cap Watch List, Lexmark (LXK), Linear Technology (LLTC), MEMC Electronic Materials (WFR), Metals and Mining, Mid Cap Watch List, Miscellaneous Capital Goods, Miscellaneous Transportation, Norsk Hydro (NHY), Personal and Household Products, Plantronics (PLT), Retail (Catalog and Mail Order), Semiconductors, Services, Small Cap Watch List, Steel Dynamics (STLD), Stock Market, Technology, Texas Instruments (TXN), Transportation, United Parcel Service (UPS), Watch List, Xerox (XRX), Xilinx (XLNX) | 3 Comments

Performance Review – Week of 21 July 2007

My watch lists did not perform as well as the benchmarks this week. The Small Cap Watch List (Track at Marketocracy) lost 2.54%, compared with losses of 2.25% for the Russell 2000 and 1.59% for the S&P Small Cap 600.

smallcap

The Mid Cap Watch List (Track at Marketocracy) lost 1.96%, compared with 1.32% for the S&P Midcap 400.

midcap

The Large Cap Watch List (Track at Marketocracy) lost 1.43% while the S&P 500 lost just 1.19%. At least it is still doing better since inception.

largecap

The economic data last week continued the prior trend – mixed with a skew to the weak side.

EconomicData

Bad and Deteriorating Bad but Improving Good but Deteriorating Good and Improving
Existing Homes (June) Chicago Fed NAI (May) Consumer Confidence (June) Real Disposable Income
Employment (June) Durable Goods (June) Personal Spending (June) ISM Manufacturing (July)
New Home Sales (June) Construction Spending Retail sales (August 2007) ISM Services (June)
ATA Truck Tonnage (June) CPI (July 07) Leading Indicators (June)  
GDP (Q2 Advance) Trade deficit (July 07)    
PPI (July 07) Durable Goods (July)    
Industrial Production (July 07)      
Housing Starts (July 07)      
       
       

Topics: Durable Goods, Economy, Large Cap Watch List, Mid Cap Watch List, Producer Price Index, Russell 2000 (RUT), S&P 500 (SPY), S&P Midcap (MID), S&P Smallcap 600 (SML), Small Cap Watch List, Watch List | No Comments